All Eyes On Inflation, FII Trading And Global Markets As Indian Stocks Seek Direction
Investors’ sentiments will be guided by a host of domestic and global macroeconomic data announcements this week, along with the trading activity of foreign investors and trends in world stocks, analysts said.
Rupee-Dollar Trend and Brent Crude Impact
Besides, the rupee-dollar trend and movement of global oil benchmark Brent crude will also be crucial in dictating terms in the market, experts added.
Key Global and Domestic Influencers
“The domestic stock market is likely to be shaped by a mix of global cues, domestic economic indicators, and the flow of investments from foreign and domestic institutional investors. Key factors like the rupee’s exchange rate and crude oil prices will play a critical role in determining market trends.
Geopolitical Tensions and Emerging Markets
“Globally, geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, continue to pose challenges. However, recent declines in the dollar index and US bond yields have created a more favourable environment for emerging markets like India,” Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst, Swastika Investmart Ltd, said.
Macroeconomic Data to Drive Sentiment
On the economic front, significant macroeconomic releases, including retail inflation and industrial production data from India as well as US core CPI, are expected to influence overall market sentiment, Gour added.
Recent Market Performance
Last week, the BSE benchmark jumped 1,906.33 points or 2.38 per cent, and the NSE Nifty climbed 546.7 points or 2.26 per cent.
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) Strategy
“FIIs turning buyers in early December, in a total reversal of their sustained selling strategy during the last two months, has altered the market sentiments. The change in FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) strategy is getting reflected in stock price movements, particularly in large-cap banking stocks in which FIIs have been sellers,” VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Financial Services, said.
US CPI Inflation and Fed Insights
The release of US CPI inflation data will give some insights into the Fed’s December meeting, an expert said.