Bihar abuzz with rumours of Nitish Kumar breaking alliance with RJD, joining BJP-led NDA

Bihar’s capital was abuzz with rumours that chief minister Nitish Kumar of the Janata Dal (United) could break his alliance with Lalu Prasad Yadav’s Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), dissolve.

The state assembly, and rejoin the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) – with the Congress, currently part of the grand alliance ruling the state, and the fledgling INDIA bloc of opposition parties being collateral damage.

The official word from the JD(U) was that there is nothing wrong with the alliance, but it is clear that all is not well between it and the RJD. Both Kumar and the state’s deputy chief minister (and Lalu Prasad’s son) Tejashwi Yadav held meetings of their respective parties on Thursday, ostensibly to discuss the road ahead, even as state BJP leaders were summoned to Delhi to meet party chief JP Nadda and Union home minister Amit Shah.

On Wednesday, while participating in the centenary celebrations of socialist Janata leader Karpoori Thakur (awarded the Bharat Ratna on Monday by the Union government), Kumar spoke up against dynastic politics, a comment widely seen as aimed at the RJD.

On Thursday, Lalu Prasad’s daughter Rohini Acharya wrote on X: “Those who claim to be socialist change their ideology like wind; what is the point when the problem is with self. There is no reason to get dejected as the inevitable will happen. Often some people are unable to see their own deficiencies but throw mud at others”.

The comment was seen as a response to Kumar, whose party was part of the NDA till 2013, then broke and allied with the RJD and the Congress till 2017, then re-entered the NDA fold and stayed there till 2022, before breaking up with the BJP and partnering with the RJD and the Congress again.

RJD MP Manoj Jha said the media is trying to read a lot between the lines and too quickly. “In politics and during election time, a lot of things happen. If we have to unitedly fight for a bigger cause, small differences don’t matter. We should not speculate too much on the basis of a tweet that was not from any party functionary,” he added.

JD(U) general secretary KC Tyagi said: “Who is she (Rohini)? Children should not speak on matters of elders. That is our tradition also.”

Still, it wasn’t immediately clear whether Kumar’s comment was the trigger or just a symptom. It is believed that JD(U) leader Lallan Singh, who recently gave up the party chief’s post at the insistence of Kumar who took it on himself, was becoming too close to Lalu Prasad, and that Kumar was upset at what he saw as an effort by the RJD to make inroads into the JD(U). HT also learns that Kumar isn’t exactly pleased at the evolution of the INDIA bloc, an alliance which he got together, but where he sees his role shrinking.

In a January meeting of members of the alliance, Kumar declined to be the convenor of the opposition alliance, citing lack of consensus as West Bengal chief minister Mamata Banerjee and Samajwadi Party president Akhilesh Yadav were not present at the meeting. The parties decided to appoint Congress national president Mallikarjun Kharge as the alliance president and kept the decision on convenor in abeyance.

BJP leader Sushil Kumar Modi, once known to be close to the Bihar CM, also defended Kumar.

“What is important is that Nitish Kumar has so sharply attacked the dynastic alliance despite knowing the reality of his alliance partner. But then, Nitish Kumar is a tough bargainer and one never knows what he will do,” Modi told reporters.

A senior BJP leader said that what Nitish Kumar had said about dynastic politics was something Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been reiterating for long to ensure clean and vibrant democracy. “ The opposition alliance is disintegrating because of this reason only. The BJP central leadership is watching the developments. At present, it is premature to say what turn Bihar politics will take,” he added.

Poll strategist Prashant Kishor said the Bihar CM has a clear formula. “If he has to go with the BJP, he talks against dynastic politics and if he has to go with the RJD, he speaks against communalism.”

Former CM Jitan Ram Manjhi said the sole objective of Lalu Prasad was to install Tejashwi Yadav as CM, which Kumar would never allow. “Both are moving in opposite directions and there cannot be any union. There may be a new equation and Nitish Kumar may rejoin the NDA. Wait till January 31. Bihar is heading for change,” he added.